China-Taiwan, As China steps up military activities, Taiwan is building up resistance in the hopes of deterring conflict and defending itself. Tension ratcheted up in August when White House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited the Taiwan island, which China claimed to be a part of its territory to express anger over Nancy Pelosi’s visit, the Chinese began ranging live fire exercises, deployed its two aircraft carriers, an amphibious assault ship and repeatedly sent military aircraft across the Taiwan Strait.
China issues fresh warning in Taiwan. The person of the Chinese Air Force Shen Jinke said that “ China will resolutely safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity” In addition spokesperson also said that the Chinese Air Force is completely capable of encircling Taiwan. Taiwan is conducting its largest-ever military drills which simulate the repulsion of an invading force it’s a scenario based on the increased military threat from China in recent years. Beijing sees Taiwan as part of its territory and hasn’t ruled out the use of force to reunify it with the mainland and the ongoing war in Ukraine.
China-Taiwan, In the light of the world Ukraine has served as a wake-up call for Taiwan over the threat from China. This year in the first part of August, China conducted missile tests, on large-scale sea exercises and cyber attacks disinformation campaigns,s, and economic coercion. All these signs indicate the future invasion of Taiwan. There`s almost no prospect for peaceful politically driven unification between China and Taiwan as it now stands because Beijing is completely unwilling to adopt a different approach that takes into account the interest of the people of Taiwan.
Domestic Political Factors
Domestic factors in China, Taiwan, and the United States have also played a key role in creating this crisis and will continue to drive it. The Chinese Communist Party’s reliance on nationalism in general, and specifically as related to Taiwan, will create pressure on the regime to live up to its self-proclaimed status as a defender of China’s unity. This will be particularly important from now through the fall when Xi Jinping, in a move unprecedented since the 1980s, plans to be reappointed to lead the party. There is some social media grumbling about Beijing’s response inside China already. While censorship and repression can contribute to managing public opinion, Chinese leaders remain sensitive to it nonetheless.
China-Taiwan, In the United States, maintaining a confrontational approach to China now has bipartisan backing. As demonstrated by the recent passage of the CHIPS bill, treating China as a threat to be confronted is one of the few things that garners support from both sides of the aisle. This makes it harder for the United States to back down, just as it complicated internal discussions to dissuade Pelosi from going in the first place.
China-Taiwan conflict, Finally, the Taiwanese people’s deepening identification as Taiwanese rather than Chinese will make managing the cross-strait relationship even more difficult. This will color Taiwan’s local electoral campaigns in the fall and in the more distant 2024 elections for president. It has already put the Democratic Progressive Party — which is committed to creating more “international space” apart from Beijing — in full control of most elements of Taiwan’s government.
China-Taiwan conflictOne proposal from Beijing has been sent to Taiwan called “ one country, two systems” a model which is used in Hong Kong, according to this model Chinese sovereignty is recognized but semi-autonomous aspects of local governance are kept in place.
China-Taiwan conflict, One country, two system model has been rejected by Taiwan political parties”. this rejection leaves China with the option of coercion, which has been imposed through economic, diplomatic, and military means, At the same time Beijing is increasing its pressure on Taipei, including ramping up military pressure or exerting greater economic crisis. Thus there is no peaceful resolution on the table right now, and as a result, it will most probably result in a military conflict across the Taiwan Strait and there are more chances that China will invade Taiwan due to its strategic patience policy.